Sep 30, 2012 12:30pm PDT
-- the preponderance of evidence seems to be that romney is losing tra. the rasmussen polloes not wait democrats more heavily -- >> robopolling. >> we have an expert here in mark shields. >> we are in conservative wine country now. it is a miracle that ronald reagan won 49 states without fox news, rush limbaugh, sean hannity, drudge report, with the network's dominant and "the washington post" and "the new york times" ascended. mitt romney is being undone by some conspiracy out of a 7- eleven in falls church? [laughter] >> there was no other reagan. was unique and a political actor unlike any we have seen. putting mitt against him is unfair. he is not a great campaigner. i think he would be a great president, but he is not a great campaigner. evan is right. if the polls are 0.9% in one direction, there probably true. -- 90% in one direction, they are probably true. but you have to apply a formula by who is likely to show up. if you apply the model of the 2008lectorate, you get one result, highly pro-obama. but if you say the electorate will look more like 2004, then the race is even. i think that is
Sep 30, 2012 9:00am EDT
? the preponderance of the evidence seems to be that is losing. argument. the rasmussen poll does not weight democra more heavily -- polling.is the robo- >> we have an expert here in the results, but be wh they are. we are into conservative wine country now. [laughter] is a miracle that ronald reagan without fox news, lemmel, sean hannity -- limbaugh, sean hannity, and with the networks' domince and washington post" and "the imes" ascended. poor mitt undone by a a 7-e-eleven in falls church by polling coanies?s? [laughter] >> first of all, there is no reagan. uque, a political actor unlike any we have seen. putting mitt up against him is exactly fair. but he is not a great campaigner. i happen to think he would ba good president, but he is not a great campaigner. on the polls, i think evan i right. 90% are pointing in one rectio they are probably true. -- but there is one issue here. the numbers are wrong, but you to apply a formula when -- numbers are raw, but y have to apply a formula when you look at to ow up.ng you apply the model of the 2008 electorate, you get a that is pro-obama. but if you s
Sep 29, 2012 10:00pm PDT
is up 50% to 44% for governor romney. rasmussen has it much tighter, though. has the president up by just two points, 48 to 46 for mr. romney. could the spreading benghazi gate scandal slow the president's momentum? let's ask former governor charlie crist of the crucial battleground state of florida. governor crist it in tampa. mario diaz was in miami. governor crist, my mom says hi. still remembers you fondly when you dropped by her 85th birthday. i have to say governor rick scott is sending her love letters. i don't know, man. out of sight, out of mind. you got to get back into the game. >> your mother is a great lady and i was honored to be at her birthday and i want to thank you publicly for come doing carol and my wedding about four years ago. it was nice to have is you in st. peter's. thank you for the invitation. >> geraldo: you are great couple and i appreciated being with us. what about benghazi gate? does it have legs in florida? >> i don't think we know yet. i really don't. until you get answers to some of the questions i have seen you pose o on the segment befoe i don'
Sep 30, 2012 1:00pm PDT
. rasmussen has him up two among likely voters. my theory is split the difference. it is somewhere close, romney has lost ground but not the kind of ground that we are hearing. most importantly the president is 50 percent approval and romney's favorables are going up. >>gregg: it is a national popular election. that brings me to the real clear politics electoral map. you have to win the states that have the big numbers attached. not election were held today, here is what you would have. obama at 265, five shy of what you have to get and romney at 191. i would say the polls and that electoral map is the best thing that could happen to romney. when it was a tie race, his natural instinct to play it safe overrode everything. now this is no doubt that he is behind, not fatally behind as pat and doug said, but he is behind the he has to change course. obviously, wednesday night is the last opportunity to change course. i think he started changing last week, took all of the ads off, put a new ad in, just himself, talking to the american people. >>gregg: let's lay the new ad with governor romne